Seafood Horizons

Horizon scanning is a process of gathering, analysing and disseminating information to facilitate informed decision making and support long term strategic thinking. Through active horizon scanning, Seafish supports the seafood industry by generating a greater awareness of long term changes and a better understanding of their implications and the options for action.

Our horizon scanning work, which is overseen by an industry steering group, involves ongoing mapping of changes that could impact the seafood industry and carrying out deep reviews on those changes with high impact. 

Seafood industry change mapping
We carry out regular reviews of what is going on globally to maintain live industry change maps for the seafood industry. Changes are developments which can cause significant industry impact, with either positive or negative results, and can be identified as opportunities or threats.

These changes are mapped in ‘families’ which relate to broader challenges. They are also ‘heat-mapped' to take into account how likely each change is to occur and allow us to record whether we are expecting a weak, medium, or strong signal for each change over the next few years.

Priority changes are identified through peer review with industry. To identify the changes which are likely to be the most impactful, we ask industry operators and other stakeholders to review the strong changes and select priorities – those which represent a high impact for industry from their perspective. These priority changes are then placed under consideration for deep review.

The latest version of the seafood industry issue map is dated January 2020. For more information, contact Dr Angus Garrett.

Priority changes in review
Our deep reviews (listed on the right) take an in-depth look at priority changes. We investigate the key drivers of a change – including longer-term economic developments, trade developments, population developments, increased scrutiny, regulatory developments, and media influence. From this, we can identify the major industry impacts arising from it, taking into account the wider protein context, and suggest how industry can respond.

Note: These outputs combine data, opinions and conjecture and are position papers at time of publication. It is important to bear in mind that evidence today might suggest trends that turn out differently over the longer term.

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